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Tracking tropical development: Latest Texas Gulf Coast chances, timing

The chance of development is low as tropical waves continue to battle Saharan dust.

CORPUS CHRISTI, Texas — NOTE: This story will no longer be receiving updates. For the latest on the tropics CLICK HERE.

Two tropical waves in the eastern Atlantic have a low chance of development. These systems are battling Saharan dust which inhibit tropical development with dry air in the region. 

Credit: Kiii

We are watching some convection in the Bay of Campeche that may organized into a weak low later this week. However conditions look much more prime for development south of Mexico in the Pacific Ocean. 

Credit: Kiii

RELATED: 2022 Hurricane Guide: Download Now

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Tropical activity peaks in September, with longer-track storms developing off of the west African coast. Development is most likely as tropical waves approach the Leeward Islands. Most storms that develop in this region tend to take northerly turn toward Bermuda. Storms that make it into the Caribbean sea have a greater chance of traveling into the Gulf of Mexico. 

Credit: Kiii

2022 KIII Hurricane Season Forecast

Credit: Alan Holt
2022 KIII Hurricane Forecast

2022 NOAA Hurricane Season Forecast

Credit: Alan Holt
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast

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