Cold for Christmas? Yes! Wintry weather? Probably not

December 18, 2017

The classic song goes, "I'm dreaming of a white Christmas..." But unfortunately (or fortunately depending on your outlook), North Texas will likely be doing just that this Christmas when it comes to wintry weather... dreaming.

Over the past few days, our weather models have been hinting at the chance for wintry weather in the North Texas area the weekend before Christmas.

One of those models in particular had been very consistent in showing that chance. You probably saw the images floating around Twitter and Facebook. However that model, among others, has come into better agreement showing a mainly dry forecast Saturday through Christmas day.

The chance for wintry weather this weekend was never high, but those chances look to be even lower now that new data has come into better agreement. 

What is very certain is that it will get cold this weekend. A strong arctic front will arrive on Friday with temps likely not making it out of the 40s Friday afternoon. Some showers could accompany this front on Friday, but will be just showers. Even though it'll be chilly, it will be too warm for wintry weather.

Lows below freezing and highs in the 30s and 40s are likely Saturday, Sunday and Christmas Day. 

Now, if you are a winter weather lover and still holding out hope for some wintry weather sometime near Christmas, there's still a chance. A very low chance, but a chance.

The jet stream will still be hanging out near North Texas Sunday into Christmas Day. IF there is enough moisture still present, and a disturbance moves through at just the right location in that jet stream, we COULD get a round of wintry weather somewhere in the area. The way it looks right now chances of this occurring are low, but not low enough to say there's no way it will happen. Hope!

If you have travel plans this weekend, it is still a great idea to keep up to date with the forecast the rest of the week. Exact details will continue to be ironed out over the next few days. Even if it is dry in North Texas, travel problems could exist elsewhere in the U.S.

© 2018 WFAA-TV


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