Forecasts for ten early fantasy football underachievers

DALLAS - Here's a look at ten players who have vastly underperformed compared to their expectations going into the season, and what you should expect going forward. 

QB

BROCK OSWEILER, HOUSTON

The Texans new franchise quarterback was paid handsomely in the offseason, raising the bar for his expectations in 2016.  Through three games he is the 27th ranked QB with only 3 TDs and 4 INTs to go along with only 695 passing yards.

Forecast:  If you are starting Osweiler on your fantasy team, you are in trouble.  If you need to use him as a bye week fill in, it wouldn’t be terrible.  As things stand now, he appears to be very average with the possibility for a few good weeks sprinkled in.

RUSSELL WILSON, SEATTLE

The MVP of the 2nd half of last season has started extremely slow as injuries and poor offensive line play have slowed Wilson considerably.  He is the 26th ranked QB in fantasy, and has only 2 TDs to 1 INT and 1 fumble.

Forecast:  Wilson is now dealing with a sprained MCL on top of everything else.  It looks as though he could be playing injured for a while.  Until he becomes fully healthy, you shouldn’t start him as his mobility is a large part of his game. 

TYROD TAYLOR, BUFFALO

Chosen by many to be this year’s breakout star, Taylor has failed to live up to the hype.  He is the 21st QB in scoring through three weeks.

Forecast:  After a putrid Week 1, Taylor has put two solid weeks together.  However, with top receiver Sammy Watkins possibly missing a large amount of time due to injury, it is going to be hard for Taylor to consistently put up the passing numbers to warrant a spot in the top 10 or as an every week starter on your fantasy team.

RB

TODD GURLEY, LOS ANGELES

The first overall pick by man, after a horrible first two weeks, Gurley bounced back in Week 3 with 85 yards and 2 TD.  He is currently the 20th highest scoring RB in fantasy football.

Forecast:  Gurley still struggled as it took him 27 carries to get those 85 rushing yards.  However, the Rams are going to feed Gurley and his talent is going to win out eventually.  He might have some rough spots, but he should still finish near the top 5 in fantasy at his position when all is said and done.

RYAN MATHEWS, PHILADELPHIA

Projected to be the lead back in Philly, Mathews has seen an ankle injury allow him only 34 total touches through the first three weeks of the season.  He is 24th in scoring among running backs.

Forecast:  Having the bye week this week will hopefully give Mathews time to heal up.  If he ever gets healthy, he should have very solid production.  However, don’t start him until you see him get a full workload.

LAMAR MILLER, HOUSTON

While Miller has still been above average, he has yet to find the end zone this season.  Which is hard to live with considering you most likely drafted him with your 1st or 2nd pick

Forecast:  Miller could challenge the top running back spot by year’s end.  He’s getting an enormous amount of touches and should eventually find the end zone multiple times.  The Texans losing J.J. Watt could cause the Texans to play a little more from behind, slashing into his carries a bit.  However, he already has 10 catches on the season and has shown to be an above average receiver.

WR

JULIO JONES, ATLANTA

A guy who is expected to challenge for fantasy’s top spot is currently out of the top 20.  Typically a target monster, Jones only has 10 catches on the season, with only 1 reception for 16 yards in Week 3.

Forecast:  Jones is again dealing with nagging injuries, just like years passed.  However, while he may see a few less targets this season, Julio should still be a top scoring threat each and every week.  Be patient though, his next three opponents all have stout defenses (Car, @Den, @Sea).

ALLEN ROBINSON, JACKSONVILLE

One of last season’s top wide receivers is currently only 22nd on the scoring list.  Through three weeks, he only has 183 yards receiving.

Forecast:  The Jacksonville passing attack hasn’t looked quite as top notch as it was in 2015, but Robinson should still have an above average season.  He won’t duplicate what he did last year, but he should have a shot at cracking the top 10-15 wide receivers by season’s end.

JEREMY MACLIN, KANSAS CITY

Maclin surprised many doubters in 2015, but has disappointed many believers in 2016.  He is currently 39th in scoring for wide receivers, with two very sub par outings in Weeks 2 and 3.

Forecast:  Maclin is still seeing plenty of targets, he and Alex Smith have just failed to hook up.  Known for having a high floor last season, Maclin should be able to repeat that as the season progresses.  This week against a Pittsburgh team that has allowed the 2nd most yards to receivers since the beginning of the 2015 season, Maclin will have every opportunity to right the ship.

TE

JORDAN REED, WASHINGTON

Many thought Reed was a lock to finish in the top 3 of his position coming into this season, if he could stay healthy.  Well, through three games he has stayed healthy, but provided very sub par production.  He is currently the 13th ranked tight end in scoring.

Forecast:  The Washington offense has been out of sync in all three of their games so far this season.  Kirk Cousins hasn’t played at the level he did last year and that is hurting Reed.  Cousins is also looking to spread the ball around a bit more. 

Reed should still have some superb games this fantasy season, and will definitely be higher than the 13th ranked tight end.  However, his projection of a top 3 finish, and consistent elite production is probably not going to happen the way things are looking at this point.

Who is underachieving on your team and how do you see them doing? Let Blake know on Twitter @blakegibbs.

Copyright 2016 WFAA


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